Theory and Data in a Computational Model of Secularization

Authors

  • F. LeRon Shults University of Agder

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1558/bsor.20997

Keywords:

computer modeling, social simulation, secularization

Abstract

This article illustrates the value of computer modeling and simulation (CMS) for linking theory and data in the academic study of religion, focusing on ways in which scholars in religious studies and the humanities can benefit by collaboratively engaging in this relatively new and radically transdisciplinary methodology. I begin by briefly introducing CMS and describing some of its recent uses in analyses of religious phenomena. The second part provides a case study – an agent-based model (ABM) designed to simulate and forecast changes in religiosity and existential security in Europe (Gore et al. 2018). The main research question guiding the construction and validation of this model was: What are some of the conditions under which – and mechanisms by which – religiosity declines in contemporary European populations? I highlight one of the main research findings from the simulation experiments on the model. Finally, I briefly explore some of the material and methodological implications of the development and deployment of such models for the academic study of religion.

Author Biography

  • F. LeRon Shults, University of Agder

    F. LeRon Shults
    Institute for Global Development and Planning
    University of Agder
    Kristiansand, Norway

References

Anand, Sudhir and Amartya Sen. 2011. “Human Develop­ment Index: Methodology and Measurement,” in Sakiko Fukuda-Parr and A.K. Shiva Kumar (eds). Readings in Human Development: Concepts, Measures and Policies for a Development Paradigm. https://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:01108a71-3112-4a84-a19e-1ebaa9a9f127

Bainbridge, William. 2006. God from the Machine: Artificial Intelligence Models of Religious Cognition. Lanham, MD: AltaMira Press.

Diallo, Saikou, Wesley J. Wildman, F. LeRon Shults, and Andreas Tolk, eds. 2019. Human Simulation: Perspectives, Insights, and Applications. Berlin: Springer.

Dutton, Edward and Dimitri Van der Linden. 2017. “Why Is Intelligence Negatively Associated with Religiousness?” Evolutionary Psychological Science 3: 392–403.

Gilbert, G. Nigel, and Klaus G. Troitzsch. 2005. Simulation for the Social Scientist. 2nd ed. London: Open University Press.

Gore, Ross, Carlos Lemos, F. LeRon Shults, and Wesley J. Wildman. 2018. “Forecasting Changes in Religiosity and Existential Security with an Agent-Based Model.” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 21: 1–31.

Hungerman, D. M. 2014. “The Effect of Education on Religion: Evidence from Compulsory Schooling Laws.” Journal Of Economic Behavior & Organization 104: 52–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2013.09.004

Iannaccone, Laurence R., and Michael D. Makowsky. 2007. “Accidental Atheists? Agent-Based Explanations for the Persistence of Religious Regionalism.” Journal for the Scientific Study of Religion 46.1: 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5906.2007.00337.x

Inglehart, Ronald and Christian Welzel. 2005. Modernization, Cultural Change, and Democracy: The Human Development Sequence. Cambridge, UK ; New York: Cambridge University Press.

Lane, Justin. 2013. “Method, Theory, and Multi-Agent Artificial Intelligence: Creating Computer Models of Complex Social Interactions.” Journal for the Cognitive Science of Religion 1.2: 161–180.

Lemos, Carlos Miguel, Ross Joseph Gore, Ivan Puga-Gonzalez, and F. LeRon Shults. 2019. “Dimensionality and Factorial Invariance of Religiosity among Christians and the Religiously Unaffiliated: A Cross-Cultural Analysis Based on the International Social Survey Programme.” PloS One 14.5: e0216352.

Lewis, James R. 2015. “Education, Irreligion, and Non-Religion: Evidence from Select Anglophone Census Data.” Journal of Contemporary Religion 30.2: 265–272. https://doi.org/10.1080/13537903.2015.1025556

Nielbo, Kristoffer L., Donald M. Braxton, and Afzal Upal. 2012. “Computing Religion: A New Tool in the Multilevel Analysis of Religion.” Method and Theory in the Study of Religion 24.3: 267–290. https://doi.org/10.1163/157006812X635709

Norris, Pippa, and Ronald Inglehart. 2011. Sacred and Secular: Religion and Politics Worldwide. 2nd edition. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Shults, F. LeRon, Ross Gore, Wesley J. Wildman, Christopher Lynch, Justin E. Lane, and Monica Toft. 2018. “A Generative Model of the Mutual Escalation of Anxiety Between Religious Groups.” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 21.4: 1–25. https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.3840

Shults, F. LeRon, Justin E. Lane, Saikou Diallo, Christopher Lynch, Wesley J. Wildman, and Ross Gore. 2018. “Modeling Terror Management Theory: Computer Simulations of the Impact of Mortality Salience on Religiosity.” Religion, Brain & Behavior 8.1: 77–100.

Shults, F. LeRon, and Wesley J. Wildman. 2018. “Simulating Religious Entanglement and Social Investment in the Neolithic.” In Religion, History and Place in the Origin of Settled Life, edited by Ian Hodder, 33–63. Colorado Springs, CO: University of Colorado Press.

———. 2019. “Ethics, Computer Simulation, and the Future of Humanity.” In Human Simulation: Perspectives, Insights and Applications, edited by Saikou Y. Diallo, Wesley J. Wildman, F. LeRon Shults, and Andreas Tolk, 21–40. Berlin: Springer.

———. 2020. “Human Simulation and Sustainability: Ontological, Epistemological, and Ethical Reflections.” Sustainability 12.23: 10039. https://doi.org/10.3390/su122310039

Shults, F. LeRon, Wesley J. Wildman, Justin E. Lane, Christopher Lynch, and Saikou Diallo. 2018. “Multiple Axialities: A Computational Model of the Axial Age.” Journal of Cognition and Culture 18.4: 537–564. https://doi.org/10.1163/15685373-12340043

Upal, M. Afzal. 2005. “Simulating the Emergence of New Religious Movements.” Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. 8.1. http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/8/1/6.html

Wildman, Wesley J., F. LeRon Shults, Saikou Y. Diallo, Ross Gore, and Justin E. Lane. 2020. “Post-Supernaturalist Cultures: There and Back Again.” Secularism & Non-religion. 2053–6712. 9s 1–15. doi:10.5334/SNR.121

Published

2022-01-26

Issue

Section

The Conference

Categories

How to Cite

Shults, F. L. (2022). Theory and Data in a Computational Model of Secularization. Bulletin for the Study of Religion, 50(3), 98-104. https://doi.org/10.1558/bsor.20997